Yesterday's low death count for coronavirus was staggeringly misleading

16
Posted 26th MarEdited by:"Erudite"
It turns out that the figure stated for deaths yesterday was for just an eight hour period.
Not for 24 hours.

Yes , they only counted an eight hour period.

Don't take the stats at face-value. In fact, check everything
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It was obviously too good to be true. In other Corona news, Priti is apparently considering closing UK borders, shame its a month too late . . . . .
freakstyler26/03/2020 21:48

It was obviously too good to be true. In other Corona news, Priti is …It was obviously too good to be true. In other Corona news, Priti is apparently considering closing UK borders, shame its a month too late . . . . .



Biggest bunch of clowns ever to have formed a uk government - but I'd still have Boris's buffoons than Steptoe's silly sods any day of the week.
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@Erudite

A good bloke using maths would not use a single day's figure. We use many days worth, the more the better, then we plot a curve on the trend!
"Check everything" ...including any timezone offset for when any comparable reported data starts / ends...
It was obviously too good to be true. In other Corona news, Priti is apparently considering closing UK borders, shame its a month too late . . . . .
It was obvious.
freakstyler26/03/2020 21:48

It was obviously too good to be true. In other Corona news, Priti is …It was obviously too good to be true. In other Corona news, Priti is apparently considering closing UK borders, shame its a month too late . . . . .


The rest of the world did with haste speed. Makes you wonder why the UK has left her doors open? #coronaconspiracy
If you are looking at movements plot a moving average on death rate it was running 27% last weekend drop back to 19% increase per day, I thought yesterday’s looked low,
Only issue is a moving average is linear and very basic, remember this is exponential (grows rapider and rapidider)

Uk cases rate isn’t great data as few are getting tested, worldometre with data from John Hopkins uni on worldometre so pretty good ..

USA looks like it’s gonna take a pummelling,

We’ll see for the UK the incubation average 5.2 days so last weekends fiasco will soon be kicking in,

Shame the data is so bad otherwise could start doing all sorts of calculation
Edited by: "whatyadoinsucka" 26th Mar
Bvrd8826/03/2020 22:43

The rest of the world did with haste speed. Makes you wonder why the UK …The rest of the world did with haste speed. Makes you wonder why the UK has left her doors open? #coronaconspiracy


UK citizens needing to get home
freakstyler26/03/2020 21:48

It was obviously too good to be true. In other Corona news, Priti is …It was obviously too good to be true. In other Corona news, Priti is apparently considering closing UK borders, shame its a month too late . . . . .



Biggest bunch of clowns ever to have formed a uk government - but I'd still have Boris's buffoons than Steptoe's silly sods any day of the week.
whatyadoinsucka26/03/2020 22:47

UK citizens needing to get home


They’ve had plenty of time to do so now. Maybe we should ask them, ‘what ya doin’ sucka?’
Oneday7726/03/2020 23:17

They’ve had plenty of time to do so now. Maybe we should ask them, ‘what ya …They’ve had plenty of time to do so now. Maybe we should ask them, ‘what ya doin’ sucka?’


Have they? many people are still not taking it seriously, last Friday was the turning point for me, schools closed and things got serious, last weekend fiasco highlighted even those in the UK didn’t appreciate the risk and severity.
Those enjoying holidays overseas started looking at getting home and flights were being cancelled with the few remaining flights hopelessly oversold and at ridiculous fees.

It’s easy to judge with hindsight but you are on holiday enjoying the sun and cocktails . It’d be hard to cut short a long haul holiday, for something the majority of our nation has never experienced
Edited by: "whatyadoinsucka" 26th Mar
whatyadoinsucka26/03/2020 23:22

Have they? many people are still not taking it seriously, last Friday was …Have they? many people are still not taking it seriously, last Friday was the turning point for me, schools closed and things got serious, last weekend fiasco highlighted even those in the UK didn’t appreciate the risk and severity.Those enjoying holidays overseas started looking at getting home and flights were being cancelled with the few remaining flights hopelessly oversold and at ridiculous fees.It’s easy to judge with hindsight but you are on holiday enjoying the sun and cocktails . It’d be hard to cut short a long haul holiday, for something the majority of our nation has never experienced


There has been enough in the news the last 2 weeks for people to realise they should be getting home. Holiday insurance post 13th March is no longer available. So if we take that as a line in the sand of what was expected in regards to travel. That gives 12 days notice today by my reckoning.
There are exceptions of course but on a jolly with cocktails is not an exception.
I have been informing people of this since the numbers were released and so many genuinely believed we just dropped to 28. They purposefully fiddled the numbers.
Is it hayfever or anybody getting headaches at times.
splender26/03/2020 21:31

@Erudite A good bloke using maths would not use a single day's figure. We …@Erudite A good bloke using maths would not use a single day's figure. We use many days worth, the more the better, then we plot a curve on the trend!


This is why you're not in charge. Leave it to the buffoons!
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